September, 2014

Sep 30
Tip: Rilski Sportist (+5.5AH)
Odd: 1.85
Tip details
Analysis
Just three days ago Rilski Sportist and Lukoil Academic faced each other with the latter losing 78:90 and yet they are favorites today. Rilski Sportist have shown during their friendly games in the past 10 games that they shouldn't be underestimated, winning all 3 of them. In contrast Lukoil lost two and won two for the same period. Of course you never know what can happen in a friendly game, but we think there is much value in backing Rilski Sportist on the +5.5 points handicap.

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Sep 27
Tip: Cholet (-4AH)
Odd: 1.83
Tip details
Analysis

For Chorlet last season was rather disappointing. They finished 13th out of 16 teams and this season will have to concentrate in the domestic championship only. However, over the summer the management took the necessary measures and the squad was reinforced by signing 5 American players who should bring the required class.

 

Their opponents, Dijon, lost some of their key players including Campbell, Dobbins and Riley, among others. And while they signed few replacements, they are expected to struggle a bit, at least in the beginning of the campaign.

Dijon's weakest place seems to be their defense and with a Cholet eager to have a much more successful season, we expect the hosts to start with a victory.

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Sep 26
Tip: Over 154 points
Odd: 1.88
Tip details
Analysis
The beginning of the Spanish basketball season is near and today 4 of the teams will play their first competitive games in the semi-finals of the Super Cup. In the first game Real Madrid hosts Valencia, while in the second Laboral Kutxa faces Barcelona. Our primary interest is in the latter game. Laboral lost two key players during the summer, one of them Tibor Pleiss, will be facing them tonight since he is a Barcelona player now. Their manager Sergio Scariolo also left, which might be the bigger blow. However, the team also bought several players who should boost the squad and give more options to the new coach. Barcelona, on the other hand, strengthen the squad significantly and could really challenge Real for the title this season. Apart from the already mentioned Pleiss, the club also signed Justin Doellman, who is regarded as one of the best in Europe. Few other, young and talented players were transferred too. Last season these two teams met 7 times and 5 of the games went over 155 points. Tonight we expect another interesting encounter and we hope they can cover a similar spread.  

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Sep 25
Tip: Hapoel Jerusalem (+7.5AH)
Odd: 1.70
Tip details
Analysis
Unics Kazan and Hapoel Jerusalem face each other and the winner will play in the Euroleague final. This will be the first meeting between these two teams since 2010 and it promises to be an interesting one. Both teams won their games yesterday, but Hapoel seemed slightly more convincing than their Russian counterparts. Unics struggled against Zielona Gora, while the Israelis defeated Nymburk. Hapoel is the outsider according to the bookmakers, but we disagree. Of course, they might lose the game, but we doubt it will be with more than 8 points.

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Sep 24
Tip: Hapoel Jerusalem (-5.5AH)
Odd: 1.70
Tip details
Analysis
In this Euroleague 1/4 final Hapoel's main aim would be to progress. They are a solid team and the good news is that they managed to keep most of their important players. They already got some silverware by beating Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israeli Pre-Season Cup. The visitors, Nymburk, are rather average team which relies most on local Czech players. They should be no match for much more experienced Hapoel team and we expect the Israelis to win comfortably by at least 6 points.

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Sep 14
Tip: USA (-19.5AH)
Odd: 1.80
Tip details
Analysis
After starting rather unconvincingly in the group stages, Serbia picked up their game tremendously and have been sublime during the elimination phases. They trashed Greece and Brazil and overcame France to go to a dream final against the USA. The Americans, as expected, had no problems so far. Even in the 1/2 final when many people thought Lithuania could trouble them, they managed to defeat them by 28 points. Simply put, the USA team is perfect. The whole world expects the USA to beat Serbia easily tonight and we are no different. The Americans came too far to afford to lose and even though the Serbians will fight bravely, we can't see them losing by less than 20 points.

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Sep 13
Tip: Lithuania
Odd: 1.80
Tip details
Analysis
Both teams lost their 1/2 finals so now they will have to settle with a game for the 3rd place. France suffered a 5 point difference defeat against Serbia, while Lithuania lost heavily to the USA by 28 points. The main reason to pick Lithuania in this game is the fact they had more time to rest, while the French team had about 18 hours rest. Plus the Lithuanians will be eager to get their revenge after losing the European Championship final against today's opponents. Lithuania to win is our choice.

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Sep 12
Tip: France (+3 AH)
Odd: 1.95
Tip details
Analysis
Serbia and France are just one game away from a dream final against the USA in this year's FIBA World Cup. The French team shocked the world by beating hosts and favorites Spain in the 1/4 final, while Serbia also won rather surprisingly against Brazil by nearly 30 points. Both teams already met in the group stages and France won 74:73. They clearly have the momentum having won against one of the favorites in the tournament and even though they are tipped as the underdog in this game we believe they can reach the final. The Serbians will definitely put up a good fight, but we think at the end it will be France that will prevail.

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Sep 11
Tip: Lithuania (+26.5AH)
Odd: 1.85
Tip details
Analysis
After the surprising defeat of Spain yesterday, now the USA seems like a clear favorite for the World Cup title. However, their 1/2 final game against Lithuania won't be as easy as many people think. Or at least it shouldn't be. The Lithuanians have a very good team and are determined to show the world their strength. It is true that the Americans have been incredibly efficient and high-scoring, but this is a game where we expect them to find it harder to score freely. The +26.5 points handicap for Lithuania seems very appealing and it definitely deserves a shot.

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Sep 10
Tip: Brazil (-2.5AH)
Odd: 1.80
Tip details
Analysis
In the 2010 World Cup, Serbia reached the 1/2 finals and today they will try to repeat this achievement when they face Brazil. The two teams met earlier during the group stages and the South American team won comfortably 81:73. They easily surpassed their continental rivals Argentina winning by 20 points. The Serbians, on the other hand, didn't really perform so well in their group, but showed a class performance in the previous round easily overcoming Greece 90:72. Brazil is one of the offensive teams in the tournament and this combined with their solid defending is enough to put them as favorites in this game. Plus, they already showed us that they know how to defeat Serbia, therefore we believe they can do it again, hopefully with more than 3 points difference.

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