This is maybe our first prediction from the Australian basketball ever. The game is from SEABL which means South East Australian Basketball League. The league is very interesting actually. We are following from a couple of weeks and we can say there are great games and results.
The first game which we will try to predict from this league will be between the teams of Mt Gambier and Ballarat. Usually, the team of Mt Gambier is the better one and they must take easily the game against Ballarat. The problem here is that there is no sense of betting for Mt Gambier because they have already qualified for the playoffs and they are not going to be that motivated to play and win this game. The truth is that Ballarat are just 1 win from the playoffs so they will be over motivated to take this game.
We do not believe that they are going to take it because they are simply not that good team but they can represent pretty good. Anyway, we pointed out that the points line is very high. This is not normal, because yes, there may have some games with over 180 points but this one .. there is too much adrenaline going on and we think that we are not going to see more than 150-160 points.
Today, there are only two friendly games from the basketball and we decided to choose the first one between Spain and Ivory Coast. Actually, we are not quite common with the team of Ivory Coast, because they are very unknown team but we think that they are not that weak.
The bookmakers are making Spain incredible and absolute favourites for winning this game but we are not quite sure that they are going to win that easy. Usually, yes, Spain are the better team, they can take if they want 40+ lead till the half time, but Ivory Coast are a team which no one is knowing and this is making them very dangerous. We do not believe that they are going to let Spain to win with more than 30-40 points so this is our main reason why we are going to go for handicap on them.
Over 145 points is also not a bad option, but unfortunately the last few games of Spain are not very precise and they are making games like 140 points, 145 points, 150 points. So the points market will be one idea more risky. We expect Ivory Coast to surprise the Spanish team and not lose the game with more than 35 points.
Today, we are not going to predict any games from the Women European Championship U18, because we found another game, which is going to be very interesting - Argentina against Lithuania.
Usually, Argentina is a very strong team and they have all the chances to take this game but their recent performance is not that good. They are in a serie of 4 losses in a row. The last one against the team of Australia early in the morning today. On the other side, Lithuania are in a great shape, they did 2 wins against Spain, before that they did wins against Belarus, Netherlands and Venezuela. They are much better team right now and we think they can take the win.
The main problem for us is that we do not know almost anything for Argentina and we are just looking for the results. Lithuania at the moment must be in a better shape and they must show their class and take this game.
Unfortunately, today and tomorrow there are not good basketball games but in order to satisfy you with some good predictions we chose this game between Lithuania and Spain for the U18 Women European Championship.
For the U20 European Championship we had a huge success but now it is different. Also lots of bookmakers are not offering these games, which is normal, first of all kids are playing and second everything is so uncommon for the regular bettor. We will see what is going to happen in this game, but we think that Spain are going to smash their opponents from Lithuania. The odds for Spain are 1.02 which is not serious of course. Initially, we were about to make a prediction of plus handicap for Lithuania but then we saw that in the last head to head game they have lost with 50 points difference and we gave up.
We think that in these games, the best we can search is the points on over/under. We will see whether we are right here, but usually Spain are scoring lots of points and we think that even if the game is very easy for them they can easily score 80 points at least and if Lithuania are not playing so bad they can score another 40-50 which will make our over 125 points bet.
Spain did some good friendly games this season, as they are preparing for EuroBasket and the Olympic games. But the truth is that the team seems to be not that ready. They have lost by Lithuania twice and this is a big surprise, especially the game which was played in Spain.
Interesting or not, Spain played against Venezuela once this year, it was a couple of days ago and on that game Spain won with 25 points difference. We we initially about to write a prediction for over 145 points but then we stopped and thought that a better prediction will be to go on plus handicap for Venezuela, which team is not that bad and they can definitely surprise Spain.
We will see what is going to happen but we have a feeling that Venezuela will perform much better than the last time. Actually in the last game, they played good and they did not lose with more than 25 points. We think this will happen tonight as well.
This U20 EuroBasket is a very nice competition and we liked it a lot. Lots of interesting games were played so far and lots of games are going to be played as well. We are already in the playoffs. The first game we will predict from the playoffs is between Montenegro and Poland.
It is useless to say that Montenegro are the favourites for winning this game. They are the better team right now and their current shape is amazing. Actually, they do not have a lost game this year and we think that this is going to continue. Initially, we thought of a prediction like Montenegro to win with difference, but then we saw that the points line is as low as 123 points. We think that this is better because the handicap line was high as well - 8 points.
Of course, if Montenegro are playing like they did in the group stage, they should not have any problems in winning this game with 10-15 points. They are the better team and they will show it. The points like is low so we will go for over and we think that both teams will make even around 130-140 points.